The meme is talking about a common probability error that surveys have shown even doctors are prone to making.
Why you’re probably ok:
The rarity of the disease far exceeds the error rate of the positive test. Meaning, the disease occurs in 1 out of a million people, so if you are tested at random and show positive, you only have a 1 out of 30,000 chance (the 3% false-positive rate) of being the the 1 person who truly has the disease.
I mean, yes…
But at 1/30,000 , they should say “get the second test… but be SUPER CAREFUL on the drive”, since at 1/30000 you’re still an order of magnitude more likely to die in an MVA.
This is ideal bedside manner.
I’ve always thought that I’d make an exceptional professional in the field of medicine.
The only thing really holding me back is my unfathomable depth of ignorance regarding the human body, or health in general.
At one point in my life, I believed that to be a deal breaker. Cheers, RFK Jr.