I agree, the most likely case here is that this is a disaster for the US, whether they have to make an unfavorable deal with Iran and walk away (the best case for the Americans at this point), or they end up with the casualties from boots on the ground.

However the US gets to disaster, and what magnitude it is between the two extremes above, this is more likely one of a string of signs evident to future historians of eroding American control, ahead of the real Suez moment.

Very interesting read. The Suez moment had a new protagonist in the wings ready to take over global hegemony (the US). For the parallel to be exact, China would need to make its desire plain vis a vis Hormuz. It would be a massive Earthquake if China put pressure on the US to stop the escalations, because I think it would work.

I hate to break it to you. The pest is just the symptom. There will be more where he came from when 70 years of cheeseburgers inevitably do their job.

It’s stuff like this that keeps coming up that makes me continue to question why anyone would go to the US, ever…

We could build datacentres and dedicate them to academic computing - computational chemistry, thermodynamics, physics, to unlock new breakthroughs. Nope, we need to use fossil fuels to power the creation of AI slop I just scan by.