Thinking about how on poly market of setting up bets on nuclear war, or nuclear exchange. If you think it won’t happen you bet no, but if you yes and win then most likely the venue will get destroyed and you won’t get your payout or money you get will be worthless… Guess that adds another layer of betting. Assuming guarantee money would be worthless it would effectively mean losing.

Despite the inherent parley, seems like the person setting up the bet wanted to get the money of the people that bet on nuclear war happening